Handicapping NASCAR’s Championship Four at Homestead-Miami Speedway

Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick, Martin Truex Jr. and Joey Logano will race for the 2018 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series championship Sunday at Homestead-Miami Speedway (Green flag: 3:03 p.m. ET, NBC).

According to betting odds from Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook, Busch and Harvick will be the favorites in +200, followed by Truex (+275) and Logano (+450).
Using 2018 loop information and historical results, we provide pick to a championship and handicap the race.
After 35 races, Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick, Martin Truex Jr. and Joey Logano have earned the right to fight for the 2018 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series (MENCS) championship Sunday in Homestead-Miami Speedway.

Busch (2015),” Harvick (2014) and Truex (2017) have notched one tournament in their professions, while Logano is trying to secure his original.

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It’s not surprise to visit Busch, Harvick and Truex still living, as”The Big Three” combined to win 20 of the 35 regular-season races this year. Logano scored two wins himself, but awakened 25 top-10 finishes to make his shot.

Using historical loop data from FantasyRacingCheatSheet.com, let us break down the contenders to determine the best bet to acquire the 2018 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series championship.

The Track
While Homestead-Miami joins a few other MENCS monitors at 1.5 mph, there actually are not any others on the circuit like it.

Homestead delivers innovative banking, which allows drivers to conduct lines.

The track surface itself is also very abrasive, and which wears out tires and makes rubber a massive benefit.

With tire wear making cars challenging to drive and progressive banking allowing motorists to select unique lines, passing is easier here than at most other 1.5-mile tracks which are overly reliant upon aero for pace and so make follow-the-leader racing.

For the analysis below, I decided to analyze the past four races in Hometead-Miami Speedway.

Using four races may seem a little arbitrary, but that amount was chose on by me . To begin with, 2014 was the year that NASCAR went to the playoff format where drivers progress through the game’s playoff until four stay to race to the title at Homestead.

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